TY - BOOK AU - Bazerman,Max H AU - Watkins,Michael TI - Predictable surprises: the disasters you should have seen coming, and how to prevent them T2 - Leadership for the common good SN - 1591391784 U1 - 363.347 PY - 2004/// CY - Boston PB - Harvard Business School Press KW - Desastres KW - Prevención N1 - Incluye bibliografía (p. 299-300); What is a predictable surprise? A preview -- pt. 1. Prototypes of predictable surprises. September 11 : the costs of ignoring a predictable surprise -- The collapse of Enron and the failure of auditor independence -- pt. 2. Why don´t we act on what we know? Cognitive roots : the role of human biases -- Organizational roots : the role of institutional failures -- Political roots : the role of special-interest groups -- pt. 3. Preventing predictable surprises. Recognition : identifying emerging threats earlier -- Prioritization : focusing on the right problems -- Mobilization : building support for preventative action -- Future predictable surprises UR - http://www.loc.gov/catdir/toc/ecip0420/2004017441.html ER -